Sure Prediction For Today, Wednesday 30th October 2019

Liverpool continued to set a hot pace at the top of the league on Sunday afternoon, as they came from behind to beat Tottenham by two goals to one. At one point, Jurgen Klopp’s men were the width of the crossbar away from being two goals down, but they stuck to their task, battled hard and on balance, were deserving winners in the end.

It’s hard to criticise the Reds this season; they’re yet to lose in the Premier League and have failed to win just one out of ten. Much as they did the last term, Klopp’s men have both created plenty of chances and scored plenty of goals, while they’ve also done an excellent job of creating and scoring considerably more than they’ve given away.

In contrast, Arsenal’s attacking qualities haven’t really outweighed their defensive deficiencies. Sunday’s 2-2 draw against Crystal Palace was the perfect example of this. Despite offering plenty in the final third and being two goals to the good, a lack of defensive solidity meant that Unai Emery’s men walked off the pitch with a share of the spoils, as opposed to all three points.

This season, Arsenal, who’re the sixth-highest scorers in the division, have scored a respectable average of 1.5 goals, but they’re conceding an average of 1.4, so their attacking efforts have often been undone. Moreover, the Gunners come into this fixture with an average expected goal difference of -0.36, which tells us that, in general, they’re giving away more chances than they’re creating. Liverpool currently has an average expected goal difference of +1.01.

If this was a regular league game then it would be difficult to see anything other than a relatively comfortable Liverpool win, which is exactly what we saw when the pair met at this venue earlier in the campaign.

With this being a League Cup match, both teams are likely to rotate, which even if only slightly, changes things. Liverpool is undoubtedly the better team at full strength, though in terms of quality in-depth, Arsenal probably has more. Should Jurgen Klopp decide to rotate heavily, much as he did in the last round, then the playing field will be levelled somewhat.

In the betting, despite Liverpool being considerably better than Arsenal in the league, the visitors appeal at the prices. In the previous round, Arsenal’s secondary XI showed their class by battering Championship Nottingham Forest 5-0, while Liverpool’s secondary XI wasn’t exactly convincing when beating League One’s MK Dons. However. our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals.