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Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich, Germany – Bundesliga, At BayArena. Time: 14:30
It seems as though no side can stop Hansi Flick’s Bayern Munich, who have returned to Bundesliga action with a bang.
After all but securing the title with a disciplined 1-0 defeat of Borussia Dortmund, the Bavarians obliterated strugglers Fortuna Dusseldorf 5-0 last time out to make it eight league wins on the spin and 17 matches unbeaten in all competitions.
And although they have looked faultless against the division’s lesser lights, they have been more conservative in their approach to games against sides vying for European berths.
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Avoiding defeat was the focus when they travelled to the Signal Iduna Park for their potential title decider with Dortmund and, although they prevailed, the hosts managed 11 shots and five on target and had opportunities to win the game.
Interestingly Bayern has won only two of their six matches against the rest of this season’s top six, prevailing by more than one goal only once – a 4-0 pummelling of Dortmund at the Allianz Arena in November.
They drew both matches with Leipzig and lost away to Borussia Monchengladbach and lost the reverse fixture with Bayer Leverkusen, who should not be underestimated when the sides clash at the BayArena, where we predict the hosts can hold their own.
The 4-1 loss to Wolfsburg in Leverkusen’s last home assignment was a tad harsh on the hosts, who only mustered two fewer shots than their opponents and had 64 percent possession in the contest.
They are sure to be more cautious against Bayern Munich and prior to that thrashing, Leverkusen had not lost a league fixture by more than one goal since a 2-0 loss to Cologne in mid-December, which was 15 matches ago.
It remains to be seen whether star player Kai Havertz will be available for the home side but Leverkusen can nonetheless call on the likes of Kevin Volland, Lucas Alario, and Leon Bailey, who have 20 league goals between them this term, to breach Bayern.
Flick’s men have conceded in eight of their 14 matches on their travels and, although both have shown themselves to be good at recoveries, wing-backs Benjamin Pavard and Alphonso Davies often leave space in behind which Leverkusen’s pacey attack can exploit.
There could be plenty of goals in this game given that four of Leverkusen’s last five matches have featured over 3.5 strikes.
Both teams have scored in three of Leverkusen’s last four matches and we might see a couple of goals here, our prediction is Over 2.5 Goals.
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