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Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg, Germany – Bundesliga, At Weser-Stadion. Time: 12:30
Werder Bremen’s horrendous home record came back to haunt them in midweek as they slumped to a 3-0 defeat against Eintracht Frankfurt, ending their brief respite and keeping them in a perilous situation.
Die Werderaner remains in 17th position, three points adrift of safety, and low on confidence after the comprehensive defeat in midweek. The reason for this threat of relegation is simple: Their home form.
They hold the worst home record in the Bundesliga having collected just six points from 14 games, and they haven’t won at the Weser-Stadion since the start of September. Since then they have played out three draws and nine defeats, scoring a total of just five goals in the process.
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- Werder Bremen have lost eight of their last nine Bundesliga home games and haven’t won there since September.
- Wolfsburg are unbeaten in their last five Bundesliga away games and have won four of them.
- Die Wolfe has scored three goals per game during this five-game period.
- Werder Bremen have failed to score in seven of their last eight at the Weser-Stadion.
This will be music to the ears of Wolfsburg fans who, like their opponents, are also coming into this game off the back of a defeat at home to Eintracht Frankfurt. Unlike Werder, Die Wolfe find themselves in contention for European qualification, sitting 6th in the table and with a four-point cushion over 8th placed Freiburg.
The visitors have only lost two of their last 10 league matches as well and their last away game saw them thrash the in-form Bayer Leverkusen 4-1. In fact, away from home they have won four of their last five Bundesliga matches and netted 15 goals, so we’re predicting them to do well on Sunday.
Werder Bremen’s dismal record at the Weser-Stadion points towards away success on Sunday. The hosts have lost eight of their last nine at home and face a free-scoring Wolfsburg side who have shown their mettle away from home recently. Given the odds, a Wolfsburg win looks fantastic value.
Die Wolfe has averaged three goals per game in their last five away matches and, with Werder Bremen failing to score in seven of their last eight at home and losing 3-0 on two occasions, our prediction is an away win or a draw for Wolfsburg.
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