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Freiburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach, Germany – Bundesliga, At Schwarzwald-Stadion. Time: 19:30
Borussia Monchengladbach got their Champions League qualification hopes back on track with an emphatic 4-1 win at home to Union Berlin last weekend and should follow up with an equally smooth success at Freiburg.
Monchengladbach sits fourth in the Bundesliga but only goal difference separates them and Bayer Leverkusen in fifth and with seven matches remaining this is a game they can’t afford to drop points in.
The striking partnership of Marcus Thuram and Alassane Plea, who have combined to score 20 of their 57 league goals, has been the catalyst to Monchengladbach’s success this season and that prolific pairing were both on target against Union Berlin.
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It was the 11th time from 29 league games that Monchengladbach had scored three or more and that includes in victory in three of their last four away trips.
Marco Rose’s men beat Freiburg 4-2 on home soil earlier in the season and with their opponents faltering this looks like the perfect chance for the explosive visitors to repeat the trick. The Foals are predicted to do well here.
Freiburg may be flying high in eighth in the Bundesliga but they have won only one of their last eight league matches and are in danger of undoing all their early-season hard work.
Since football returned in Germany, Freiburg has failed to win in four attempts, firing blanks in home defeats against relegation-threatened Werder Bremen and Bayer Leverkusen, while being dominated in score draws at Leipzig and Frankfurt.
Freiburg are the lowest scorers in the Bundesliga’s top-half with just 38 goals in 29 games (an average of 1.31 per match) and leading marksman Nils Petersen, who has grabbed nine of those, has scored only once in his last 11 outings.
Christian Streich’s side has now lost five of their last seven on home turf, suffering shock defeats to basement boys Paderborn and third-bottom Fortuna Dusseldorf in that time, and their struggles should be exploited here.
Both teams have scored in ten of Borussia Monchengladbach’s last 11 league games and for all their attacking quality, they are prone to lapses in concentration at the back.
In fact, Gladbach has recorded only six clean sheets in 29 league games this season and their ultra-attacking mindset does often leave them vulnerable at the back.
Both teams have scored in each of the last six meetings between the pair and this is likely to follow suit, albeit Freiburg may only grab a consolation.
Monchengladbach has won seven of their 14 away games this term and in four of those wins, they scored three times. The visitors won 3-1 at Frankfurt just over a month ago and a repeat of that performance may well be on the card. Our prediction is an away win or a draw for Monchengladbach.
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