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FC Barcelona vs Atletico Madrid, Spain – Super Cup, At King Abdullah Sports City. Time: 20:00
Barcelona will be confident they can pick up a positive result and progress through to the Super Cup Final on Thursday as they are unbeaten in their last nine matches against Atletico Madrid, securing five wins and four draws. Seven of those last nine encounters have produced under 2.5 goals and we are expecting another close and competitive 90 minutes when the pair lock horns on Thursday.
Barcelona has scored 49 goals in the league this season but the Catalonians have scored an average of 1.50 goals on the road and conceded an average of 1.30 goals, which is why we are expecting a low-scoring affair this Thursday.
Atletico has scored just eight times away from home in the league but has also only conceded six goals and it will be interesting to see how that mean defence does against Barcelona’s attacking trio.
Ernesto Valverde’s men have kept clean sheets in 30% of their away games in the league and have won-to-nil in 30% of their games on the road this season; the Catalonians have only failed to score in 20% of games away from home. Atletico Madrid has a good defensive record both home and away, as touched upon above, but have failed to score in 33% of their away games, which will be a concern for Diego Simeone’s men.
In total, 20% of Barcelona’s away games have produced exactly one goal this term, while just 11% of Atletico Madrid’s games on the road have seen just a single goal scored. A majority of Barcelona’s wins have been obtained with a margin of two goals or more this season (nine), while three of their wins had a one-goal margin; but Atletico Madrid’s excellent defensive record has led to our prediction of a 1-0 win for Barcelona on Thursday.
Barcelona has won 40% of their away games in the league this season, averaging 1.50 points on the road, while Atletico has only won 33% of their away games and average just 0.89 goals per game away from home, below the league average of 1.06 goals. However, Atletico concedes an average of just 0.67 goals on the road, which is why we have backed under 2.5 goals to be scored in Thursday’s clash.
We’re confident under 2.5 goals will be produced in Thursday’s Super Cup Semi-Final and we have predicted a final scoreline of 1-0 in favour of Barcelona. The Catalonians have outperformed Atletico Madrid in most departments so far this season and, in a game played in a natural venue such as this one, both teams’ away records come into play, our prediction is a home win or a draw for Barcelona.
Match preview credit: www.freesupertips.co.uk
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