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FC Basel vs Eintracht Frankfurt, Europa League – Matches, At St. Jakob-Park . Time: 20:00
The hosts noticeably tailed off towards the end of their Super League campaign, drawing four of the final five matches. That was largely due to falling too far behind the leaders. A return to the Europa League should give them a boost, especially with a three-goal lead to protect.
The last side to lose the first leg of a two-legged knockout tie by 3+ goals in the Europa League and still, progress was Valencia in the 2013-14 quarter-finals against Basel. However, they lost the second leg away in Spain. Basel has been stronger at home than away in the Europa League this term, so our predictions point to another victory for them.
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The hosts have been in lethal form in Europe so far this season, hitting 19 goals so far. That’s been largely down to excellent finishing at home, where they’ve carved out almost 17 chances per game, converting 14% of those.
Basel has also won six of their last seven Europa League games (L1) including each of the last four without conceding. They’ve managed six consecutive home wins in this competition, claiming seven wins in their last eight here, dating back to 2016.
Meanwhile, Basel has claimed five wins in seven matches at home in all competitions, going unbeaten in eight games at their own ground. That should see them progress at the expense of Frankfurt.
The visitors haven’t played a competitive game since late June, ending their Bundesliga campaign with a late rally to finish ninth. However, they won just five of 11 games since the restart. That poor form mixed with almost six weeks without a competitive fixture doesn’t inspire hope for the visitors’ chances.
We think Basel are good value for the victory in this second leg. Frankfurt has already been inconsistent in the Europa League this term, winning only twice in six games – losing three times. Our prediction is Over 1.5 goals.
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Europa League – Matches
FC Basel – Eintracht Frankfurt – over 1.5
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