Sure Prediction For Today, Thursday 10th January 2019
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Levante vs FC Barcelona, Spain – Copa del Rey, At Estadi Ciutat de València. Time: 21:30
Levante hasn’t done too badly of late; they’re without a win in four, while they’ve struggled to keep things tight at the back, but Paco López’s men have certainly had a go and have thus delivered the goods offensively on several occasions. The problem is that they’re too open and we all know what happens to teams that leave themselves exposed to the likes of Barcelona.
For all they’ve tried to get forward and make things happen of late, Levante is finding it tough to get their heads in front. Thursday’s hosts have won just one of their last eight matches in the league, while they’ve won just two out of their last ten overall. In addition, they’ve kept just two clean sheets during that time and have shipped a worrying total of 12 goals in their last four.
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From an attacking point of view, it’s easy to see Levante getting competitive, even against a side of Barcelona’s quality. After all, when the pair met at this venue in the league less than a month ago, the hosts didn’t go without chances, as they clocked a respectable 1.17 expected goals for, while they’ve found the net in seven of their last eight at home and are averaging a reasonable 1.57 expected goals for at Estadi Ciutat de València.
The defensive third is where Levante struggle and it is in the defensive third where they’ll find it tough to compete on Thursday. Barcelona notched five goals when they visited Estadi Ciutat de València in December, while the hosts have shut their opponents out just three times at home this season. They’re also surrendering an average of 1.77 expected goals for during the current campaign.
Fortunately for the hosts, Barcelona is highly likely to rotate ahead of this match, which means that the likes of Lionel Messi and Luis Suarez could be given the night off. In the previous round, Ernesto Valverde rested many big players and if he does something similar here, Levante’s task automatically becomes simpler.
Moreover, even though they did win 5-0 at this venue recently, thanks to several moments of magic from Messi, Barcelona haven’t been overly impressive on their travels this season. They only narrowly beat Getafe at the weekend, while they’ve only won by more than a single going in two of their nine away matches this season. What’s more, Barca’s average expected goal difference of +0.19 on the road isn’t too impressive either.
Levante is anything but a secure side, though they will certainly get forward and create opportunities, especially against a Barcelona side that is unlikely to be at full strength. With this in mind, coupled with the numbers above, we are backing a Barcelona win or draw and over 1.5 Goals.
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10-01 20:30
Spain – Copa del Rey
Real Betis Balompie – Real Sociedad – (Handicap 0:2) Real Sociedad Won
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AFC Asian Cup
India – United Arab Emirates – 2 Won
10-01 21:15
Portugal – Primeira Liga
Portimonense – Sporting Braga – x2 Won
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10-01 14:30
Uganda – Premier League
Paidha Black Angels – Maroons FC – x2 Won
10-01 09:30
Australia – Westfield W-League
Sydney FC – Western SW – 1 & over 2.5 Won
10-01 12:30
India – I-League
Churchill Brothers – Gokulam Kerala – 1 Won
10-01 16:10
Saudi Arabia – Saudi Pro League
AL Taawoun – Al Hazm – over 1.5 Won
10-01 15:30
Club Friendly Games
FC Utrecht – KV Oostende – over 1.5 Won
10-01 15:00
Club Friendly Games
Waasland-Beveren – FC Wurzburger Kickers – over 1.5 Won
10-01 14:30
Club Friendly Games
KAA Gent – Holstein Kiel – over 1.5 Won
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10-01 16:00
Portugal – U23 Championship
CD Feirense – Vitoria Guimaraes – x2 & over 1.5 Lost
10-01 14:30
Uganda – Premier League
Express FC – Ndejje University – 1 Lost
10-01 12:00
AFC Asian Cup
Bahrain – Thailand – 1x Lost
10-01 19:30
Spain – Copa del Rey
Athletic Bilbao – Sevilla FC – 1x Lost
10-01 21:30
Spain – Copa del Rey
Levante – FC Barcelona – x2 & over 1.5 Lost
10-01 14:30
Uganda – Premier League
Bul FC – Nyamityobora FC – 1 Lost
10-01 16:00
Club Friendly Games
Fortuna Dusseldorf – FC Emmen – over 1.5 Lost
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