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Real Valladolid vs FC Barcelona, Spain – LaLiga, At Estadio José Zorrilla. Time: 18:30
Real Valladolid narrowly lost 2-1 away at Valencia in midweek and dropped to 14th in the La Liga table, while Barcelona claimed a 1-0 win at home against local rivals Espanyol to keep the pressure on the league leaders Real Madrid.
When these two sides met for their reverse league fixture in October, Messi scored a brace as Barcelona thrashed Real Valladolid 5-1 at the Camp Nou. The visitors head into this weekend’s latest encounter between the two clubs as the form favourites with three wins and three draws from their last six league games, as Real Valladolid have lost two, drawn three and only won one of their last six outings.
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Our prediction for under 2.5 goals to be scored in this weekends’ clash is backed up by plenty of statistics. Despite Barcelona’s big win against Valladolid in October, under 2.5 goals have been scored in three of the duo’s last four encounters. Uner 2.5 goals have also been produced in five of Real Valladolid’s and three of Barcelona’s last six league games.
A whopping 76% of the hosts’ home matches this season have seen under 2.5 goals scored, with an average of just 1.76 goals being scored per game at the Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla. In terms of a final scoreline, we’re predicting a 1-0 win for Barcelona in what is expected to be a tight and tense 90-minutes.
Barcelona has won two of their last three games against Valladolid by the same 1-0 scoreline and the hosts only concede an average of 0.82 goals per home game while Barcelona scores an average of 1.65 goals per away game.
Real Valladolid has an excellent defensive record at home, conceding 14 goals in 17 home games this season which is the exact same defensive record that Barcelona has at Camp Nou. However, the hosts have failed to score in 35% of their home games this season and Barcelona have kept clean sheets in 29% of their away trips so far.
Two of Barcelona’s last three league wins have ended in 1-0 scorelines and we’re expecting another close and competitive 90-minutes on Saturday. Our prediction is an away win for Barcelona.
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