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Leeds United vs Liverpool FC, England – Premier League, Elland Road, Time: 20:00
Liverpool went into the weekend 12 points shy of the top four, something which likely played a part in Jurgen Klopp’s reality check on Friday.
After dropping out of the chase for £130million midfielder Jude Bellingham, Klopp compared their chase of the Borussia Dortmund star to a child asking their parents for a Ferrari for Christmas.
The Reds are in an awkward position as they prepare for a midfield tear-down, having admitted that buying premium talent is beyond them.
They face an uncertain future as they enter into a rebuild, while in the short term, the Reds have clear shortcomings which continue to cost them in the league.
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Liverpool has managed just one away league win in 2023 and their record on the road this term is terrible. Only five teams have picked up fewer points away from home than Klopp’s side.
They can’t even rely on results at the league’s weaker sides, as they’re winless in eight visits to teams below them in the table.
While Liverpool hasn’t been converting their chances on the road, they’ve also had huge issues defensively. The Reds have conceded 24 goals across 15 away games this season, while their Expected Goals Against of 29.68 is the fourth-worst across the division. A failure to control games in the middle of the park is likely a big factor in that.
Leeds should be confident going forward against this Liverpool side, with the visitors conceding in four of their last five games. However, the relegation-threatened hosts can’t be too confident in their own defensive foundations.
After a 5-1 loss to Crystal Palace last weekend, Leeds has shipped 10 goals in their three Premier League games in April. While the scale of that defeat can be partly explained by the hosts’ desperation to get back into the game, defensive issues have been a long-running theme for them.
The Whites have kept just five clean sheets in their last 35 league games, with only Leicester and Bournemouth conceding more than them this term.
The hosts have simply been pulled apart too easily at home, with 17 of the 24 goals they’ve conceded at home coming in open play. The Whites’ defence should struggle to contain Mohamed Salah again, given that the Egyptian has seven goals in five Premier League appearances against Leeds. He’s scored in four of his last five for club and country, so back him to strike at Elland Road.
However, Liverpool’s defensive issues mean they can’t be backed in this one. Leeds comes into the game having seen both teams score in each of their last five games, so our prediction is an away win or a draw for Liverpool.
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England – Premier League
Leeds United – Liverpool FC – x2 Won
Italy – Serie A
Fiorentina – Atalanta – (Handicap 0:2) Atalanta Won
Paraguay – Primera Division
Libertad Asuncion – Resistencia FC – 1 Won
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Uzbekistan – PFL
FK Neftchi Fargona – FK Turon – (Draw no bet) Neftchi Fargona Won
Argentina – Primera C
CA Claypole – Real Pilar FC – (Draw no bet) Claypole Won
Bulgaria – Parva Liga
Botev Plovdiv – FK Spartak Varna – 1x Won
Egypt – Premier League
Smouha SC – AL Ahly – 2 Won
Estonia – Esiliiga
Paide Linnameeskond U21 – FC Nomme United – Over 3.5 goals Won
Norway – 3rd Division Group 2
Ham-Kam II – Molde FK II – Over 2.5 goals Won
Bulgaria – Parva Liga
CSKA Sofia – Levski Sofia – Under 2.5 goals Won
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Norway – 3rd Division Group 3
Viking FK II – FK Vidar – Over 2.5 goals Lost
Spain – LaLiga
Celta de Vigo – RCD Mallorca – 1x Lost
Spain – LaLiga 2
Levante UD – CD Mirandes – (Draw no bet) Levante Lost
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