Sure Prediction For Today, Friday 7th June 2019

Not only has Georgia lost each of their first two qualifiers, but their performances have been very displeasing. Against Switzerland on match-day one, the Georgians failed to get involved offensively, as they mustered just a single shot on target and accumulated only 0.38 expected goals for.

In contrast, they shipped eight shots on target and conceded 2.36 expected goals. They did do better when losing 1-0 against Ireland, though their attacking efforts were still weak, as they clocked just 0.58 expected goals for. They surrendered 1.16 on that occasion.

Fortunately, Georgia performed well at home against lowly opposition during the UEFA Nations league, as they won three out of three on their own patch, beating Latvia, Andorra, and Kazakhstan, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.36 expected goals for. They conceded an average of just 0.33 goals and 0.62 expected goals. Such numbers bode well ahead of a match against Gibraltar.

Gibraltar may have only lost by a goal to nil at home to Ireland in their only previous EURO 2020 qualifier, but they were slightly flattered by the result, as they clocked only 0.61 expected goals for and conceded 1.9.

As well as failing to get seriously involved against Ireland in their most recent competitive game, Gibraltar was poor on the road in the UEFA Nations League. They did beat Armenia away from home, though they lost against both North Macedonia and Liechtenstein, conceding six goals and scoring none in the process.

On their travels in the Nations League, Gibraltar surrendered an average of 2.16 expected goals, while they averaged just 0.57 for. They also conceded a rather worrying average of 27 shots, whilst averaging only 5.67 at the other end. Our prediction is a home win for Georgia with two or more goals difference.