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Deportivo Alaves vs CF Valencia, Spain – LaLiga, At Estadio de Mendizorroza. Time: 21:00
Valencia ended their miserable February on a high last weekend as goals from Kevin Gameiro and Captain Dani Parejo settled a thrilling contest against Betis at Mestalla, but the 2-1 victory may only prove to be a temporary relief for Los Che as they prepare to hit the road again on Matchday 27.
The win over Los Verdiblancos extended Valencia’s unbeaten La Liga home record this term to 14 games (W8, D6) and no one can doubt that Albert Celades’ side has looked the real deal on their own turf.
But in contrast, Valencia has been atrocious on their travels, resembling a team battling relegation as opposed to chasing a top-four spot. Los Che has lost their last three away La Liga matches by an aggregate score of 10-1, taking their overall defeat tally this season to seven from 12 away outings.
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Los Che also suffered a 4-1 Champions League mauling against Atalanta at the San Siro in the middle of last month, so they really are a team to avoid right now outside of Mestalla. Alaves will be hoping that they can dish out further punishment here, and they will also be looking to take advantage should Valencia have one eye on their crucial second leg against the Italians next week.
Alaves look more and more likely to evade a potential relegation scrap this season as the games tick by, and confidence gained from their probable safety has been reflected in recent performances.
Babazorros have now lost just one of their last five games after a 1-1 draw at Leganes last week, while they notched consecutive 2-1 home victories against fellow Basque sides Eibar and Athletic Bilbao in February.
Asier Garitano’s men sit comfortably in 13th place and with a nine-point cushion over the bottom three heading into this Friday’s contest, in which we expect them to play with a great deal of freedom relative to their opponents, who are under pressure to make the top four.
Alaves have been solid throughout the campaign on home soil with six wins, four draws and just three defeats posted at Mendizorroza, so it’s no surprise that they have been installed as marginal favourites for this Matchday 27 clash, especially with Los Che in such poor shape on the road.
Alaves performed superbly to bank maximum points from their last two home matches and the Basque side are well priced here at around the 6/4 mark to secure a third straight success at Mendizorroza.
Valencia has not only lost their last three on the road but they have been beaten comfortably in each outing, losing by a three-goal margin against Mallorca (4-1), Getafe (3-0) and Real Sociedad (3-0).
With Los Che toiling so badly on their travels and likely to have one eye on their forthcoming Champions League encounter against Atalanta, we’re backing Alaves to prevail this Friday evening via a 2-1 scoreline.
Alaves have conceded in their last six at Mendizorroza, while the visitors have netted in nine of their last 11 away games, despite their awful travelling record. With those stats in mind, 2-1 looks a highly feasible scoreline in favour of the hosts, who look set to put Los Che and their boss Celades under further duress. however, our main prediction for this match is Under 3.5 Goals.
Match preview credit: www.freesupertips.co.uk
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Spain – LaLiga
Deportivo Alaves – CF Valencia – under 3.5 Won
England – Championship
Nottingham Forest – Millwall – (Handicap 0:2) Millwall Won
Bulgaria – A PFG
Cherno More Varna – Tsarsko Selo – 1x & under 4.5 Won
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Germany – Bundesliga
Paderborn 07 – FC Cologne – over 1.5 Won
Turkey – Super Lig
Besiktas JK – MKE Ankaragucu – 1 Won
France – Ligue 2
Rodez Aveyron – EA Guingamp – (Handicap 2:0) Rodez Aveyron Won
Ireland – Premier Division
Finn Harps FC – Dundalk FC – 2 Won
Ireland – First Division
Cabinteely FC – Shamrock Rovers II – 1 Won
South Africa – Premier League
Maritzburg United – Polokwane City – under 3.5 Won
Estonia – Meistriliiga
Flora Tallinn – Tallinna JK Legion – (Handicap 0:1) Flora Tallinn Won
Saudi Arabia – Saudi Pro League
AL Wehda FC – Damac FC – (Draw no bet) AL Wehda Won
UAE – Pro League
Shabab Al-Ahli – Al-Nasr – 1x Won
CAF Champions League
Esperance – El Zamalek – (Handicap 0:2) EL Zamalek Won
Vocklamarkt – FC Wels – 1 Won
Germany – Oberliga NOFV South
Carl Zeiss Jena II – FC Grimma – 1 Won
Denmark – 2nd Division
Helsingoer – Bronshoj BK – 1 Won
Lithuania – A Liga
Zalgiris Vilnius – FK Panevezys – 1 Won
Serbia – Superliga
Cukaricki – Spartak Subotica – 1 Won
Russia – Youth League
Dinamo Moscow Youth – FK Tambov Youth – 1 Won
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Czech Republic – U19 1st Division
Pardubice – Pribram – over 2.5 Lost
Jordan – Jordan League
AL Faisaly (Jor) – Ramtha – 1 Lost