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Atalanta vs Sampdoria, Italy – Serie A, At Stadio Atleti Azzurri dItalia. Time: 20:45
Atalanta all but wrapped up their place in the Champions League next season as they won 1-0 at Cagliari. While it wasn’t a typical Atalanta victory, it was their eighth win on the spin in Serie A. Those points have put la Dea 15 points clear in fourth with only 24 left to play for.
Atalanta are looking great, while they are refocusing their ambitions this season. With defeats for Lazio and Inter at the weekend, la Dea could yet make it into second. In order to do that they’ll need to maintain their winning streak, which will be tested by a Sampdoria side who has a real problem against good teams.
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The visitors are cruising in on safety, as they have moved onto 32 points and sit seven clear of the bottom three. They are coming off back to back wins against sides in the bottom three, which is par for the course for Samp. Against the sides below them, they’ve won eight of nine encounters. However, they’ve only won nine times all season.
Sampdoria has lost 16 times in 21 clashes against the rest of the league. On the road, they have lost nine of 10 trips against teams who are ahead of them in the table. That includes losses in every visit to the sides in the top six, so we are expecting Atalanta to continue their fantastic winning run.
Atalanta has scored 100 goals in 39 games this season in all competitions (2.56 per game) – only Bayern Munich (2.98) and PSG (2.95) have averaged more goals per game in Europe’s top-5 leagues.
Given that they have a mid-table Serie A budget, that’s an incredible return. With 42 goals in their 15 home matches in Serie A this term, la Dea are a tough side to pin back.
However, Atalanta’s attacking style has left openings. They’ve conceded 22 times at home this season, keeping only three clean sheets.
Meanwhile, Samp has scored in 12 of their 15 away games, which has us backing them to find the net on Wednesday. With five of the six league games here seeing both teams score, our prediction is Atalanta to win and concede against a side who have scored in nine straight league games.
Sampdoria has conceded 25 times in those 10 clashes with teams above them. They should be concerned ahead of a clash with an Atalanta side who have been blowing teams away of late. Having scored 20 times in their last six matches, our prediction for this match is Over 2.5 Goals.
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