Sure Prediction For Today, Wednesday 22nd May 2019

When Thun beat Lugano in their last home match, they looked in good shape, though they’ve since gone on to lose disappointingly away against Zurich, while Basel got the better of them in the Cup final just a few days ago.

However, while it was Basel who got their hands on the trophy, Thun wasn’t terrible in the final, as they got the scoresheet and only lost by a single goal.

Losing a final will undoubtedly be tough to take, though Schneider’s men ought to fancy themselves to do better at this venue. After all, when the pair met at Stockhorn Arena earlier in the campaign, Thun won by four goals to two. On that occasion, Wednesday’s hosts were the better side, as they created 2.22 expected goals for and conceded 1.48.

However, some of Thun’s recent home efforts have left plenty to be desired, especially from a defensive point of view. They were lucky not to concede when giving away 1.31 expected goals in their most recent home match, while they deservedly shipped twice when conceding 1.91 expected goals against Xamax prior to that. An average of 1.61 expected goals for is pleasing, though an average of 1.45 against isn’t great.

In contrast, some of Basel’s recent defensive efforts on the road have been respectable. Prior to conceding three goals away against the champions, Wednesday’s hosts kept four successive clean sheets on their travels.

That said, they’re not always thrived from a defensive point of view, as they’ve shipped an average of 1.35 goals away from home this season.

Not only have Basel conceded a reasonable amount on their travels, but they’ve also struggled to keep Thun at bay whenever the pair have met. This will be the fifth time the teams have faced each other this season.

The previous four meetings have yielded zero clean sheets. In those four games, Thun has notched seven goals, while Basel has scored eight. Interestingly, the last two league meetings between this pair yielded expected goals totals of 3.94 and 3.7.

Taking everything into account, especially the way that each side has performed against the other this season, ‘Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score’, which has returned a profit in three of the four renewals of this fixture (this season), makes plenty of appeal at the current prices. However, our main prediction is Over 1.5 Goals.