Sure Prediction For Today, Sunday 21st April 2019

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Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund, Germany – Bundesliga, At Schwarzwald-Stadion. Time: 14:30

It’s not exactly been a vintage campaign for Freiburg, although Saturday’s hosts won’t be too displeased with their work. They’re marooned in mid-table, but they’ve comfortably avoided a battle for survival, which means that they go into the final few weeks of the campaign without any pressure on their shoulders.

They may be safe and thus they’ve got little to play for at present, but Freiburg fans will be disappointed with the recent efforts of their team. Last time out, they failed to get seriously competitive when losing against Bremen, while they were battered by Mainz prior to that.

Then again, they did manage to hold the current league leaders to a draw when last in action at this venue, so Sunday’s hosts probably shouldn’t be judged too harshly for their last couple of efforts.

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For all their last couple of performances, both of which came on the road were poor, Freiburg has done well at home of late. Not only did they hold Bayern to a draw at this venue recently, but they’ve beaten the likes of Hertha and Augsburg, both of whom tested Dortmund considerably.

From an offensive point of view, there can be few complaints with what Christian Streich’s men have done at home in recent times. Since the turn of the year, Freiburg has scored a very pleasing average of 2.6 goals at home, while they’ve averaged a pleasing 1.84 expected goals for.

However, they’ve struggled at the back, shipping an average of two goals per game and conceding an average of 1.79 expected goals. Given the numbers mentioned, it’s hardly a surprise that both teams have scored in each of Freiburg’s home matches in 2019.

While Freiburg held Bayern in their last home match, Dortmund was battered by the current league leaders in their most recent away match, as they lost by five goals to nil at Allianz Arena. In fact, playing on the road hasn’t exactly brought BVB much joy in 2019.

Since the turn of the year, Lucian Favre’s men have won just two of their six traveling matches, while their underlying numbers during that time haven’t been outstanding. In their last six away, Dortmund has clocked a reasonable average of 1.57 expected goals for, while they’ve surrendered an average of 1.36. Such numbers aren’t poor at all, but they’re unlikely to strike fear into the hearts of Sunday’s hosts.

To be quite honest, when we look at Freiburg’s recent home efforts and compare them with what Dortmund have done on the road, it’s tough to see why the visitors are so short. In terms of overall quality, BVB are the better side and they ought to be favourites, but there’s simply less between the pair than the current prices suggest. Our prediction is a Draw no bet option for Dortmund.

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21-04 22:15
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Jorge Wilstermann – Oriente Petrolero – 1x          Lost

21-04 20:00
Bolivia – Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi – Desportivo Aurora – 1         Lost

21-04 15:00
Belarus – Vysshaya League
Energetik Bgu – FC Brest – 2          Lost

21-04 14:15
Kenya – Premier League
Gor Mahia FC – Ulinzi Stars – 1         Lost

21-04 16:00
Algeria – Ligue 1
JS Kabylie – MC Oran – under 3.5           Lost

21-04 13:30
Austria – Bundesliga
St. Polten – FC Salzburg – 2           Lost

21-04 16:00
Czech Republic – 1. Liga
Fastav Zlin – Slavia Prague – over 1.5          Lost

21-04 14:00
Turkey – Super Lig
Basaksehir FK – Caykur Rizespor – 1          Lost

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