Sure Prediction For Today, Thursday 18th April 2019

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Napoli vs Arsenal FC, Europa League, At Stadio San Paolo. Time: 20:00

Many Arsenal fans may have been pessimistic ahead of a match against a useful Napoli side, though their fears were quickly quelled when the Gunners made light work of going ahead in the first leg, while they also made light work of coming out on top. Having avoided conceding an away-goal and having given themselves a two-goal lead ahead of their trip to Naples, Unai Emery’s men will fancy themselves to progress.

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It was all too comfortable for Emery’s side last week; the Gunners created numerous scoring chances, as they clocked an impressive 2.76 expected goals for, while their end-product was strong, especially in the first half. Add in the fact that they prevented their opponents from ever really getting serious in the final third, as they conceded just 0.72 expected goals and just a single shot on target, and it’s fair to say that Arsenal’s win was straightforward.

After they beat both Zurich and Salzburg at home in this competition, Napoli will be expected to deliver a much-improved performance in front of a home crowd on Thursday evening, though this will be the first time that they’ve played at home after losing the first leg (this season), so it will be interesting to see how the Neapolitans get on.

During the last round, Napoli seemingly beat Salzburg with ease at this venue, though the score-line was a bit misleading. Going forward, Carlo Ancelotti’s men were predictably useful; they scored three goals and created 1.89 expected goals for.

However, they conceded plenty going the other way, so much so that they were very fortunate to keep a clean sheet. On that occasion, Salzburg recorded 21 shots, six of which hit the target, while they recorded 1.46 expected goals for. Such numbers suggest that Arsenal, who already have the advantage, ought to make plenty of headway at San Paolo Stadium.

On the road in this competition, Arsenal hasn’t been at their best, but they’ve still posted some useful numbers, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and averaging 1.61 expected goals for. What’s more, this will be the first time this season that the Gunners have played the second leg on the road. The fact that Napoli must attack should bode well for an Arsenal side that, with the pace of Aubameyang, can be useful on the break.

In the betting, ‘Arsenal to Score Over 1.5 Goals’ looks slightly overpriced, much as it did ahead of the first leg. Consider that Napoli gave plenty away at home against Salzburg alongside the fact that Arsenal made light work of both creating chances and scoring goals in the reverse fixture a week ago and it becomes easy to see the visitors doing well offensively.

If we also consider the fact that the aggregate score-line forces the hosts to take risks, then it’s not difficult to feel that visiting goals are a tad more likely than the current prices suggest. Our prediction is Over 1.5 Goals at full time.

Recommended sure prediction for today (Thursday 18th, April  2019)

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18-04 14:00
Scotland – Reserve League
Heart of Midlothian – Ross County – over 2.5        Lost

18-04 12:00
Denmark – 3F Ligaen Women
VSK Aarhus – FC Thistedq – 1         Lost

18-04 20:00
Europa League
Napoli – Arsenal FC – over 1.5        Lost

18-04 23:15
Bolivia – Division Profesional
Royal Pari Sion – Club Destroyers – over 1.5         Lost

18-04 14:00
Italy – Serie D
Casale FBC – ASD Borgaro – 1         Lost

You May Also Check Yesterday’s Result: Sure Prediction For Today, Wednesday 17th April 2019