Sure Prediction For Today, Thursday 14th March 2019

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Benfica vs Dinamo Zagreb, Europa League, At Estadio da Luz. Time: 21:00

Facing Benfica was never going to be easy, though Croatian outfit Dinamo Zagreb certainly made good use of their home advantage in the first leg. Nenad Bjelica’s men defended well, while they took their chance when it came. Their lead is a slender one, though the fact that they denied the Portuguese outfit an away goal is a big positive.

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Fortunately, Benfica only has a one-goal deficit to overturn, so they’re far from out of the competition, though if they are to progress, then they’ll have to do considerably better than they did in the first leg.

On that occasion, Zagreb was head and shoulders above their opponents, as they had both double the shots and double the shots on target.

Moreover, the fact that Dinamo emerged from the game with an expected goal difference of +1.41 suggests that they were good value for their victory.

In the first leg, Benfica really struggled to get going in the final third; they managed just two efforts on target, while they clocked a measly 0.31 expected goals for.

On their own patch, Bruno Lage’s men ought to be capable of doing more, though their efforts at this venue in the previous round were far from encouraging. At home against Galatasaray, Benfica failed to score, while they created just 0.91 expected goals for.

Zagreb wasn’t amazingly creative when playing on the road in the previous knockout round, as they clocked just 1.18 expected goals for away against Plzen, but they only conceded 0.98, so they may well be capable of going to Estádio da Luz and frustrating the hosts. If their efforts in the first leg are anything to go by, then the visitors can certainly keep things tight.

In addition to not allowing Benfica much last week, Zagreb posted some encouraging defensive numbers when playing on the road during the group stages.

Thursday’s visitors shut both Anderlecht and Fenerbahce out away from home earlier in the competition, while they emerged from Group D having surrendered an average of just 1.18 expected goals. At the other end, they averaged 1.81.

Make no mistake about it, Benfica could easily do much better on their own patch, though when we take all the above into consideration, it’s difficult not to conclude that the visitors are somewhat overpriced.

Zagreb proved that they can better Benfica last week, while the hosts were disappointing when drawing at home (when big favorites) against Galatasaray in the previous round. Add in the fact that Dinamo has looked useful away from home in this competition. Our prediction is Benfica wins, Draw no bet.

Recommended sure prediction for today (Thursday 14th, March  2019)

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14-03 23:00
Copa Libertadores
Penarol – San Jose Oruro – 1            Won

14-03 18:15
Saudi Arabia – Saudi Professional League
AL Taawoun – AL Fateh – (Handicap 0:2) AL Fateh             Won

14-03 23:15
Bolivia – Division Profesional
Sport Boys – Blooming – over 1.5            Won

14-03 14:00
Kenya – Premier League
Gor Mahia – Kakamega Homeboyz – (Draw no bet) Gor Mahia            Won

14-03 21:30
Jamaica – Premier League
Reno FC – Mount Pleasant FC – 2           Won

14-03 17:30
Jordan – Jordan Cup
AL Ahly – Al Tora – 1           Won

14-03 19:30
Brazil – Brasiliense
Bolamense FC – Capital CF – 2           Won

14-03 18:00
Malta – Premier Division
Senglea Athletic – St Andrews – 1x          Won

14-03 21:15
Iceland – League Cup, Women
Breidablik Kopavogur – Stjarnan – 1          Won

14-03 11:00
Ukraine – U19 League
Arsenal Kiev – Metalurg Zaporizhya – over 2.5           Won

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14-03 14:30
Belarus – Cup
Isloch – FC BATE Borisov – x2          Lost

14-03 17:00
Algeria – Ligue 1
MC Alger – Union Sportive Médina – under 2.5            Lost

14-03 17:00
Algeria – Ligue 1
MO Bejaia – DRB Tadjenant – under 2.5            Lost

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