Sure Prediction For Today, Monday 18th March 2019
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Jahn Regensburg vs Greuther Furth, Germany – 2. Bundesliga, At Continental Arena. Time: 20:30
Regensburg hasn’t exactly thrived in their attempts to build on last seasons’ 5th-place finish, though they’ve been far from poor. They currently sit in a respectable 8th place.
As they’re ten points below the coveted 3rd position, it looks as though a tilt at promotion will be beyond Jahn, but they haven’t allowed that to prevent some decent efforts of late.
Having avoided defeat in each of their last four, two of which they’ve won, Monday’s hosts ought to be feeling confident ahead of this match.
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The last couple of performances of Jahn have been pleasing; they were unlucky not to beat Duisburg when drawing last time out. At the very least, the fact that they emerged from the game with an expected goal difference of +1.43 tells us that they were far better than their opponents in terms of creating scoring opportunities. Prior to that, they battled hard to secure victory away against Heidenheim.
In front of their own fans, Regensburg has looked like a useful side going forward, but they’ve found it tough to keep things tight at the back. Monday’s hosts come into this fixture having conceded at least once in each of their last three at Continental Arena, while they’ve kept just a single clean sheet in their last ten on home soil.
Add in the fact that they’re averaging 1.49 expected-goals against and have recently surrendered numbers of 1.19, 2.35, 1.93, 1.19 and 2.27 and it’s easy to conclude that they’re far from astute defensively. Fortunately, they’re averaging 1.58 expected goals for at home, so all is not lost.
Furth has been anything but a menacing side on their travels, but even they’ll fancy themselves to do some damage against a Jahn back-line that continues to look insecure.
The visitors have scored in just one of their last eight on the road, which is of course somewhat shocking, though their recent performance when scoring twice against Kiel on the road suggests that they should do well against Jahn on Monday.
Like Regensburg, in this sort of game, Kiel like to get on the front foot. This allowed Furth to profit on the break. Similar tactics could easily see Monday’s visitors regain the scoring thread away from home.
Unfortunately, it’s tough to see how Furth’s rear-guard will stop the hosts, who’re no slouches against weak teams. The visitors have shipped an average of two goals per away game this season, and have conceded an average of 1.5 expected goals.
Moreover, they’ve kept just one away-day clean sheet since August and have conceded two or more goals in seven of their last ten on the road.
Given the above, there are two bets that stand out ahead of this match. ‘Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score’ looks ever so slightly overpriced, as does ‘Regensburg to Win & Both Teams to Score’.
Furth has struggled for goals on the road, there can be no denying that, though they ought to be suited by the way the hosts are likely to set up, while clean sheets have been very hard to come by for Jahn, who’ve given an awful lot away, even on home soil.
Jahn has the tools necessary to get the win on Monday night, but given their defensive exploits this season, don’t expect them to do it the easy way. Our main prediction is a home win or draw for Jahn Regensburg.
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18-03 15:00
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Romania – Liga 1
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Greece – Super League
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Italy – Serie C, Group B
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Spain – LaLiga 2
Numancia CD – Malaga CF – under 2.5 Won
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Paraguay – Primera Division
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18-03 17:00
Serbia – Prva Liga
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Belgium – Beloften Pro League
R. Mouscron-Peruwelz – AS Eupen – over 2.5 Won
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Czech Republic – U21
Vysocina Jihlava – FC Slovacko – over 2.5 Won
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Argentina – Primera B
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Argentina – Primera B
Atletico Fenix – CA Talleres – 1x & under 3.5 Won
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Argentina – Primera B
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18-03 19:30
Belgium – Beloften Pro League
Waasland Beveren – KV Kortrijk – over 2.5 Lost
18-03 11:00
Czech Republic – U21
Fastav Zlin – Zbrojovka Brno – over 2.5 Lost
18-03 15:00
Serbia – Prva Liga
Zlatibor – Sindelic Beograd – (Handicap 0:2) Sindjelic Beograd Lost
18-03 20:30
Germany – 2. Bundesliga
Jahn Regensburg – Greuther Furth – 1x Lost
18-03 10:30
Australia – Victoria Premier League
Kingston City – South Melbourne – over 1.5 Lost
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